NASCAR Quaker State 400 Predictions, Odds & Picks — EchoPark Speedway

Robert CriscolaMon, Jul 13, 2026·6 min read

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Last updated: Monday, July 13 at 11:20 p.m. ET.

🏁Quaker State 400: Key takeaways

• Race winner: Ryan Blaney won a rain-delayed Quaker State 400 at +733.

• Best post-qualifying prediction: Alex Bowman (-138) over Todd Gilliland — big gap in qualifying, track performance between these two.

• Best pre-qualifying prediction: Carson Hocevar to win (+1567) — "Hurricane" has to be reckoned with on drafting tracks.

• Best pre-qualifying value: Daniel Suarez Top 5 (+456) — This is one of Suarez's best courses.

• Best pre-qualifying prop: Ryan Blaney (-113) over William Byron — No. 12 driver has been much more consistent here.

• Track: Stay on strategy with teammates/manufacturers, and avoid "the big one."

• Weather: Thunderstorm chances abating closer to race time.

Quaker State 400 odds: Favorites & full field

Check out the full Quaker State 400 qualifying order.

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Odds as of 7-12. Percentages courtesy of Kalshi.Kalshi is a regulated financial exchange where you trade on real-world event outcomes. Instead of traditional odds, prices are listed as percentages (0-100%), representing the market’s estimated probability of an event occurring.

Quaker State 400 predictions (updated Monday)

• ❌ Matchup: Alex Bowman (-138) over Todd Gilliland

• ❌ Outright: Carson Hocevar (+1567)

• ❌ Top 5: Daniel Suarez (+456)

• ✅ Matchup: Ryan Blaney (-113) over William Byron

Who's hot? Who's not?

• 🔥 Chase Briscoe — First last week, second the week before.

• ❄️ Brad Keselowski — 15th or worse in six straight races.

Track breakdown: What wins at EchoPark Speedway?

• The bottom groove is the preferred racing line, as it's easy to make contact with the wall when racing high, but drivers will search wherever they can for momentum when it comes to drafting tracks like this one.

• EchoPark Speedway features one of the longest pit roads in the sport, so any "pass through" penalties are crippling. Two-tire and even fuel-only pit stops are not uncommon here as teams search for an edge.

Key stats & driver profiles to target

• Wins outside the Top 5 starting positions have not been hard to find at Atlanta, relative to other tracks. A Top 5 spot has accounted for only 52.5% of all Atlanta summertime victories.

• Chevrolet has won four of the last five editions of this race.

• Carson Hocevar has the best average finish among active drivers at Atlanta since February 2023 (five races), despite the 31st-best average starting spot.

• Joey Logano has led the most laps (347) at Atlanta since February 2023.

Odds movement & market notes

• Blaney took more action overnight, going from +900 to +733. Teammate Joey Logano (+1567 to +1150) has also been a popular race day play.

• Blaney went from +1567 to +900 after winning the pole.

• Kyle Larson dropped from +1567 to +1900 despite qualifying third.

• Don't expect significant odds movement after qualifying considering the nature of draft racing. That said, I wouldn't expect Ryan Blaney to drift up given his average starting spot of 5.6 over the last five races.

• If you're thinking about backing Shane Van Gisbergen to win his first oval race, wait until after qualifying. He's started no better than 28th in four tries, but finished sixth here back in February.

Outright picks: Winner predictions

Pick: Carson Hocevar to win (+1567)

Going for his second straight drafting track win.